2011-09-27: Market Analysis and Stock Ranking Model

From Roller Coaster (Trading Day 2011-09-27):

The NASDAQ 100 is back inside the upward channel.  Yesterday’s rise was somewhat strong, so perhaps it’s signalling more gains in the market.  It’s interesting to note that the EMAs are flat and clustered, which may suggest the market is becoming rangebound.  The critical resistance levels higher up will be important to watch if the market continues to rise.

From Tze (Trading Day 2011-09-26):

You can download the ENTIRE stock model for this week (including top 50 longs and top 50 shorts) here: FocalEquityStockModel_20110926

We had a devastating week for stocks. Unfortunately, we do not think the market is going to get any better from here. Don’t be surprised if we break the August lows in October. Things are set up now for that type of a scenario. Look at the chart below:

Here we can project that the index is at most going to bounce back up to 1200 and then tank possibly 10% or so and find support at 1075.

Here is our stock highlight for Monday (2011-09-26):

NIKE, Inc. (NYSE: NKE): NKE’s share traded higher on Friday partly due to its strong earnings forecast for 2012. The stock does not exhibit any sign of bearishness but it does rank poorly in our stock model, 3,448 out of 3,514. The poor ranking is partly due to its valuation related metrics. We should at least expect NKE to test the 50 SMA between the $83 to $84 level.

About FocalEquity

Sun Tze is one of the founders of FocalEquity.com. After going through multiple transitions, Tze, Charlie Cheng and their new team are bringing new changes and features to the new FocalEquity.com in 2011. Tze is specialized in financial modeling and has a masters degree in Finance.