Crazy Stocks: Stock Model Update and Market Commentary for 2011-09-15

Tze (2011-09-15 Trading Day):

We are starting to cover the most popular daily stocks according to the stocks’ search volume. Download our Excel based Stock Model Output file for this week. (Link: http://www.focalequity.com/2011/09/12/spy-stock-market-analysis-for-ending-week-09092011/modeloutput_20110909/)

Our big short: Ralcorp Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: RAH): The stock plunged close to 8% today. The stock ranks very poorly in our stock model, with a rank of 3,406 out of 3,514 stocks. we can expect some short term bounce but this stock will continue to remain on our bear list for a while.


Our big Long: JAKKS Pacific, Inc. (NASDAQ: JAKK): this is the jackpot stock of the day, rallied over 20% today. The stock ranks 436 out of 3,514 stocks, which places this stock in the top 15% of our universe. We continue to favor this stock at any pull back.


 

Tze (2011-09-14 Trading Day):

ANW (Aegean Marine Petro) – continues to rank in the top 150 stocks out of ove 3,500 stocks we cover. The stock is looking bullish at the moment.

AMD – (Advanced Micro Devices) – this stock has made a major come back since the August low but it still doesn’t rank well in our stock model. The ranking score is still slightly negative changed from -0.06 to -0.04 from 8/24 to 9/9.

Tze (2011-09-13 Trading Day):

What a rally in LCC! Up over 18%. You could actually buy into LCC this morning at the open around $4.74 following our LCC long recommendation.

What happened with BAC (Bank of America) and AMZN (Amazon) on 09/12 trading day does not change our positions on these two stocks. (Long BAC and short AMZN)

Will AMZN face what happened to NFLX?

NFLX peaked just above $300 in late June. Then it quickly fell below the 14 SMA and then 50 SMA and now 50 SMA is serving as resistance.

AMZN (Amazon Inc.) followed a similar path but the stock found support at the 50 SMA during the August crash. The recovering rally towards the previous peak is with much lower volume causing a bearish divergence. Now the ATR index is also rolling over. AMZN may be in the process of another huge decline.

Another Long Candidate: LCC  (US Airways)

LCC could the big turnaround story. Next year, it is projected the company could be in profit which would provide a huge boost for this stock from a valuation standpoint. The stock also seems to be finding support.

About FocalEquity

Sun Tze is one of the founders of FocalEquity.com. After going through multiple transitions, Tze, Charlie Cheng and their new team are bringing new changes and features to the new FocalEquity.com in 2011. Tze is specialized in financial modeling and has a masters degree in Finance.