Intraday Commentary ~ 04/15/2010

Idan:

3:48pm
AAPL is back above the H&S and making a shoot for new highs, my stop remains at $250.75 hoping that today was the last up day for this stock, and that tomorrow is either a reversal day, or a down day.

3:35pm
Today i took a short position in AAPL and i’m very happy to see that we have a H&S breakdown on the 1-5-10 minute time frames, here’s a 1 minute so you can see what’s going on:

3:32pm
I’m selling most of my GOOG shares here with a nice 3.8% profit, right before earnings. I’ll keep a dozen shares hoping for an upside surprise.

3:26pm
Moving Stop on GE to a profitable position, so now it’s already at 19.57… that way i make at least $9 and I can buy me a cheap lunch, yay!

2:33pm
3% Position short of GE stock Right at 19.59 and would be looking for a stop right around 20.20. This is a short swing trade.

1:32pm

AMZN might be forming a topping candle on the daily, if you want to go short, wait for the last 10 minutes of trading and if the candle still looks like a hammer, it might be the time.

1:31pm
LUV  (Southwest Airlines) has over extended itself, but the shorting opportunity is not there yet. Looking at the 60 minute, you can see that there is a clear channel, only when the blue support breaks would i go short:

12:57pm
A lot of my friend traders are saying: “Idan – Ge -Short?”. And I agree with them. It’s time to short GE here… I think it’s most likely done with it’s push higher for the moment (maybe 1 more day up), and i think a consolidation period of at least 1-3 days is about to begin on this stock. Here’s the daily, and you can see why (look at the channel):

12:55pm
UNG brokedown today, even though yesterday it had technically managed to breakout, the daily candle ended up near the lows which was a bad sign. Today UNG fell back through and that basically trumps my bullishness on this stock. I don’t like it anymore.
12:39pm
AAPL is in the range of where i want it to be, i’m going to go ahead and take a short with at $247.55 with a stop
at $250.75. I think AAPL has over extended itself, and the last push up here might be what the bears need to take this one down. My stop is less than 2% out.

Daniel

8:57

Look to go long oil above yesterday’s high of $86.39.  The trend is higher, and yesterday’s move up on the EIA number is bullish.  If we can break above last week’s high of $87.09, $90 oil should not be far off.

As Idan and I have been saying this week, Nat Gas may have put in a double bottom on the daily.  Last week’s high is right above the 4.3 mark.   Remember–today is the EIA number at 10:30AM, so if you trade the futures, I’d recommend being flat at around 10:25am, ahead of the volatility.

Idan:

RIMM hit temporary resistance yesterday, I know a few people who went short, and it makes sense the $73.90-74.00 is important and sellers will pile in here. If we break through that, then we have a clear path to a double to $76 and eventually my red ascending resistance, at 78-79. But until we breach 74, you have to consider RIMM a shorting opportunity:

An update on my own portfolio’s positions:

SDS (3% portfolio) – Bought @ 28.94
GOOG (2% portfolio) – Bought @ 572.50
FSLR (13% portfolio)  - Bought @ 124.30
GS (5% portfolio) – Bought @ 171.30

These positions are different from the hedge fund, which are provided by signing up to Alerts & Analytics

I want to get short WYNN at 90-92, and AAPL at 247-248.

About FocalEquity

Sun Tze is one of the founders of FocalEquity.com. After going through multiple transitions, Tze, Charlie Cheng and their new team are bringing new changes and features to the new FocalEquity.com in 2011. Tze is specialized in financial modeling and has a masters degree in Finance.